Download Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things PDF

Read and Download Ray C. Fair book Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TPredicting Presidential Elections and Other Things. This book was released on 2002 with total page 196 pages. Book excerpt: What do the following events have in common? In 2000, the election between George W. Bush and Al Gore was a virtual tie. The 1989 and 1990 vintages have turned out to be two of the best ever for Bordeaux wines. In 2001, the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate eleven times. The decade of the 1970s was one of the worst on record for U.S. inflation. In 2001, the author of this book, at age 59, ran a marathon in 3 hours and 30 minutes, but should have been able to do it in 3 hours and 15 minutes. This book shows clearly and simply how these diverse events can be explained by using the tools of the social sciences and statistics. It moves from a discussion of formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. Through the use of a rich array of examples, the book demonstrates the power and range of social science and statistical methods. In addition to “big” topics—presidential elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation—and “not quite so big” topics—wine quality—the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest. Who of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? (In other words, how fast are you slowing down?) As the author works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, demonstrating the usefulness of statistical theory and method, he gives the reader a new way of thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life.

Download Modern Liberty and Its Discontents PDF
  • Release Date : 2000-01-01
  • Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
  • Genre : Philosophy
  • Rating : 4.5/5 (851 Download)

Read and Download Pierre Manent book Modern Liberty and Its Discontents in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TModern Liberty and Its Discontents. This book was released on 2000-01-01 with total page 246 pages. Book excerpt: In this book, distinguished French philosopher Pierre Manent addresses a wide range of subjects, including the Machiavellian origins of modernity, Tocqueville's analysis of democracy, the political role of Christianity, the nature of totalitarianism, and the future of the nation-state. As a whole, the book constitutes a meditation on the nature of modern freedom and the permanent discontents which accompany it. Manent is particularly concerned with the effects of modern democracy on the maintenance and sustenance of substantial human ties. Modern Liberty and its Discontents is both an important contribution to an understanding of modern society, and a significant contribution to political philosophy in its own right.

Download Water-Related Death Investigation PDF
  • Release Date : 2021-05-18
  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Genre : Law
  • Rating : 4.0/5 (3 Download)

Read and Download Kevin L. Erskine book Water-Related Death Investigation in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TWater-Related Death Investigation. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 438 pages. Book excerpt: Nearly ten years after the first edition of Water-Related Death Investigation: Practical Methods and Forensic Applications, water death cases continue to be improperly investigated. The pathologist’s report can determine the cause of death as a drowning, but the manner of death is the most challenging to prove. The report will not determine if a victim jumped into the water to commit suicide, fell into the water accidentally, or was pushed in as a homicidal act. Many drowning cases do not reflect injury to the body, so evidence collected at the scene plays a vital role. The importance of an on-scene body assessment cannot be overemphasized. Often, the body evidence begins to change rapidly upon recovery and may not be present during an autopsy. Written statements on the scene are an effective tool to use to determine the accuracy of information given to arriving officers. These statements need to be written by the witnesses themselves as well as the reporting person. The "Show Me" technique can also help reveal discrepancies in a person’s version of what occurred as well as aid in providing the most details to an incident as is humanly possible. This second edition includes updated information on the latest technology to assist water death investigators. Parabon Snapshot can help determine the faceless identity of skeletal remains and help locate potential suspects using the science of DNA. Drones can aid in locating missing persons as well as human remains, even months after death. Updated information is provided regarding fingerprints from submerged objects, and Carbon-14 can help determine the origin of a found corpse. Key Features: Thoroughly reviews the physiological aspects of drowning Reveals the investigative characteristics inherent to various scenes of water-related deaths Highlights certain "red flag" indicators that may point to foul play or scene staging Outlines autopsy protocols, trial preparation, and expert witness testimony Provides numerous case studies and numerous illustrations to further clarify key points presented in the text Coauthored by a Master Water Death Investigator and an experienced forensic pathologist, Water-Related Death Investigation: Practical Methods and Forensic Applications, Second Edition merges the essentials of evidence collection and field investigation with autopsy best practices and laboratory testing. It will continue to serve as a valuable resource for the various professionals involved in these cases.

Download Hermann Cohen PDF

Read and Download Frederick C. Beiser book Hermann Cohen in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book THermann Cohen. This book was released on 2018-10-04 with total page 416 pages. Book excerpt: This book is the first complete intellectual biography of Hermann Cohen (1842-1918) and the only work to cover all his major philosophical and Jewish writings. Frederick C. Beiser pays special attention to all phases of Cohen's intellectual development, its breaks and its continuities, throughout seven decades. The guiding goal behind Cohen's intellectual career, he argues, was the development of a radical rationalism, one committed to defending the rights of unending enquiry and unlimited criticism. Cohen's philosophy was therefore an attempt to defend and revive the Enlightenment belief in the authority of reason; his critical idealism an attempt to justify this belief and to establish a purely rational worldview. According to this interpretation, Cohen's thought is resolutely opposed to any form of irrationalism or mysticism because these would impose arbitrary and artificial limits on criticism and enquiry. It is therefore critical of those interpretations which see Cohen's philosophy as a species of proto-existentialism (Rosenzweig) or Jewish mysticism (Adelmann and Köhnke). Hermann Cohen: An Intellectual Biography attempts to unify the two sides of Cohen's thought, his philosophy and his Judaism. Maintaining that Cohen's Judaism was not a limit to his radical rationalism but a consistent development of it, Beiser contends that his religion was one of reason. He concludes that most critical interpretations have failed to appreciate the philosophical depth and sophistication of his Judaism, a religion which committed the believer to the unending search for truth and the striving to achieve the cosmopolitan ideals of reason.

Download Reading Heidegger's Black Notebooks 1931-1941 PDF
  • Release Date : 2018-02-09
  • Publisher : MIT Press
  • Genre : Philosophy
  • Rating : 4.2/5 (625 Download)

Read and Download Ingo Farin book Reading Heidegger's Black Notebooks 1931-1941 in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TReading Heidegger's Black Notebooks 1931-1941. This book was released on 2018-02-09 with total page 376 pages. Book excerpt: Heidegger scholars consider the philosopher's recently published notebooks, including the issues of Heidegger's Nazism and anti-Semitism. For more than forty years, the philosopher Martin Heidegger logged ideas and opinions in a series of notebooks, known as the “Black Notebooks” after the black oilcloth booklets into which he first transcribed his thoughts. In 2014, the notebooks from 1931 to 1941 were published, sparking immediate controversy. It has long been acknowledged that Heidegger was an enthusiastic supporter of the Nazi Party in the early 1930s. But the notebooks contain a number of anti-Semitic passages—often referring to the stereotype of “World-Jewry”—written even after Heidegger became disenchanted with the Nazis themselves. Reactions from the scholarly community have ranged from dismissal of the significance of these passages to claims that the anti-Semitism in them contaminates all of Heidegger's work. This volume offers the first collection of responses by Heidegger scholars to the publication of the notebooks. In essays commissioned especially for the book, the contributors offer a wide range of views, addressing not only the issues of anti-Semitism and Nazism but also the broader questions that the notebooks raise. Contributors Babette Babich, Andrew Bowie, Steven Crowell, Fred Dallmayr, Donatella Di Cesare, Michael Fagenblat, Ingo Farin, Gregory Fried, Jean Grondin, Karsten Harries, Laurence Paul Hemming, Jeff Malpas, Thomas Rohkrämer, Tracy B. Strong, Peter Trawny, Daniela Vallega-Neu, Friedrich-Wilhelm von Herrmann, Nancy A. Weston, Holger Zaborowski

Download Provincial and State Papers PDF

Read and Download New Hampshire book Provincial and State Papers in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TProvincial and State Papers. This book was released on 1896 with total page pages. Book excerpt:

Download Frederica in Fashion PDF
  • Release Date : 2012-03-15
  • Publisher : Hachette UK
  • Genre : Fiction
  • Rating : 4.8/5 (49 Download)

Read and Download M.C. Beaton book Frederica in Fashion in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TFrederica in Fashion. This book was released on 2012-03-15 with total page 192 pages. Book excerpt: Whether dressed in her finery or disguised as a frump, he wanted her just the same! How can plain Frederica withstand a Season's scrutiny after the five beauties before her have married so magnificently? The only solution is to run away from home... Disguised as a chambermaid, Freddie soon finds her way into the household of the fashionable Duke of Pembury. But the wild gentleman is soon on to her tricks and finds himself escorting Freddie back to London, where, once again on the marriage mart, her sisters make over the tomboyish runaway until even she cannot recognise herself! But a certain gentleman can, and so it would seem that Freddie is not fated to be plain - or unmarried - after all....

Download Trading Conflicts PDF

Read and Download Georg L.K.A. Christ book Trading Conflicts in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TTrading Conflicts. This book was released on 2012-01-20 with total page 384 pages. Book excerpt: Based on Mamluk and Venetian sources, this book offers a thorough analysis of the various conflicts arising around Levant trade. It demonstrates how these conflicts more often than not cut across cultural divides in Late Medieval Mamluk Alexandria.

Download Trying to Save Piggy Sneed PDF
  • Release Date : 2016-02-02
  • Publisher : Simon and Schuster
  • Genre : Fiction
  • Rating : 4.6/5 (287 Download)

Read and Download John Irving book Trying to Save Piggy Sneed in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TTrying to Save Piggy Sneed. This book was released on 2016-02-02 with total page 460 pages. Book excerpt: A commemorative hardcover edition of the only collection ever published of the celebrated novelist's shorter works. Here is a treat for devoted fans of John Irving. First published twenty years ago, Trying to Save Piggy Sneed contains a dozen short works by the author, beginning with three memoirs. The longest of the memoirs is "The Imaginary Girlfriend," his candid account of his twin careers in writing and wrestling, which, as the Denver Post observed, is filled "with anecdotes that are every bit as hilarious as the antics in his novels . . . [and] combines the lessons of both obsessions." The middle portion of the book is fiction. Over a career that spans thirteen novels, these are the six stories that Mr. Irving considers finished. Among them is "Interior Space," for which he won the O. Henry Award. In the third and final section are three homages: one to Günter Grass and two to Charles Dickens. To each of the twelve pieces, he has contributed author's notes, which provide some perspective on the circumstances surrounding the writing of each piece. For readers who prefer a hardcover, this commemorative edition is a book to treasure. For new readers, it is a perfect introduction to the author of works as moving and mischievous as The World According to Garp,A Prayer for Owen Meany, and In One Person. Skyhorse Publishing, as well as our Arcade, Yucca, and Good Books imprints, are proud to publish a broad range of books for readers interested in fiction—novels, novellas, political and medical thrillers, comedy, satire, historical fiction, romance, erotic and love stories, mystery, classic literature, folklore and mythology, literary classics including Shakespeare, Dumas, Wilde, Cather, and much more. While not every title we publish becomes a New York Times bestseller or a national bestseller, we are committed to books on subjects that are sometimes overlooked and to authors whose work might not otherwise find a home.

Download Tea Leaves PDF
  • Release Date : 2020-07-17
  • Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
  • Genre : Fiction
  • Rating : 4.7/5 (523 Download)

Read and Download Francis S. Drake book Tea Leaves in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TTea Leaves. This book was released on 2020-07-17 with total page 230 pages. Book excerpt: Reproduction of the original: Tea Leaves by Francis S. Drake

Download Routledge Handbook of Middle East Politics PDF

Read and Download Larbi Sadiki book Routledge Handbook of Middle East Politics in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TRoutledge Handbook of Middle East Politics. This book was released on 2020-04-15 with total page 682 pages. Book excerpt: Drawing on various perspectives and analysis, the Handbook problematizes Middle East politics through an interdisciplinary prism, seeking a melioristic account of the field. Thematically organized, the chapters address political, social, and historical questions by showcasing both theoretical and empirical insights, all of which are represented in a style that ease readers into sophisticated induction in the Middle East. It positions the didactic at the centre of inquiry. Contributions by forty-four scholars, both veterans and newcomers, rethink knowledge frames, conceptual categories, and fieldwork praxis. Substantive themes include secularity and religion, gender, democracy, authoritarianism, and new "borderline" politics of the Middle East. Like any field of knowledge, the Middle East is constituted by texts, authors, and readers, but also by the cultural, spatial, and temporal contexts within which diverse intellectual inflections help construct (write–speak) academic meaning, knowing, and practice. By denaturalizing notions of singularity of authorship or scholarship, the Handbook plants a dialogic interplay animated by multi-vocality, multi-modality, and multi-disciplinarity. Targeting graduate students and young scholars of political and social sciences, the Handbook is significant for understanding how the Middle East is written and re-written, read and re-read (epistemology, methodology), and for how it comes to exist (ontology).

Download Latin American Political Yearbook PDF

Read and Download Jr. Denton book Latin American Political Yearbook in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TLatin American Political Yearbook. This book was released on 2018-01-16 with total page 514 pages. Book excerpt: In the third volume of this annual series, Robert G. Breene provides a comprehensive overview, analysis, and summary of the major political and economic trends and events in Central American, MERCOSUR, Andean and Caribbean nations, including Mexico. The yearbook provides a timely look at relevant background information necessary to an understanding of the status of political forces in Latin America today. Chapter 1 looks at the elections and status of political forces in Latin America and describes the political situations in the four groups of nations. It provides an up-to-date, realistic definition of today's political "Left." Chapter 2 relates the politico-economic backgrounds of such representative Latin American nations as Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Ecuador, Honduras, Mexico, and Panama, while chapter 3 explores in detail three hemispheric heads of state receiving much international attention: Pinochet, Ortega, and Clinton. Chapter 4 discusses the Hemispheric Left (HL), described as a loose association of amorphous Marxist and militant left organizations, and, as in previous editions of this yearbook, includes an overview of all hemispheric terrorism. The year 1998 witnessed an increased, overshadowing level of terrorism in Colombia necessitating separate coverage of Colombian terrorism, which is treated in chapter 5. The final two chapters are concerned with the Hemispheric Left Support, dealing with the association of Latin American Marxist and Marxist-Leninist organizations, and providing a look at Latin American international organizations, including regional summits and hemisphere-wide associations such as the Grupo de Rio and the Organization of American States. This third volume is brimming with facts and provides information not readily available through American media. Compact yet comprehensive, it is essential reading for political scientists, Latin American area specialists, and historians. Robert G. Breene, Jr. has been a fighter pilot, a newspaper correspondent in Central America, a professor of physics, and the owner and operator of a 600-head cattle ranch in Nevada. His is currently head of the Latin American Syndicate in San Antonio, Texas.

Download Frida Kahlo PDF
  • Release Date : 2015-09-15
  • Publisher : Parkstone International
  • Genre : Art
  • Rating : 4.7/5 (831 Download)

Read and Download Gerry Souter book Frida Kahlo in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TFrida Kahlo. This book was released on 2015-09-15 with total page 308 pages. Book excerpt: Behind Frida Kahlo’s portraits, lies the story of both her life and work. It is precisely this combination that draws the reader in. Frida’s work is a record of her life, and rarely can we learn so much about an artist from what she records inside the picture frame. Frida Kahlo truly is Mexico’s gift to the history of art. She was just eighteen years old when a terrible bus accident changed her life forever, leaving her handicapped and burdened with constant physical pain. But her explosive character, raw determination and hard work helped to shape her artistic talent. And although he was an obsessive womanizer, the great painter Diego Rivera was by her side. She won him over with her charm, talent and intelligence, and Kahlo learnt to lean on the success of her companion in order to explore the world, thus creating her own legacy whilst finding herself surrounded by a close-knit group of friends. Her personal life was turbulent, as she frequently left her relationship with Diego to one side whilst she cultivated her own bisexual relationships. Despite this, Frida and Diego managed to save their frayed relationship. The story and the paintings that Frida left us display a courageous account of a woman constantly on a search of self discovery.

Download House documents PDF
  • Release Date : 1892
  • Publisher :
  • Genre :
  • Rating : 4.B/5 (1 Download)

Read and Download book House documents in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book THouse documents. This book was released on 1892 with total page pages. Book excerpt:

Download Swahili PDF
  • Release Date : 2019-06-28
  • Publisher : Dorrance Publishing
  • Genre : Fiction
  • Rating : 4.6/5 (442 Download)

Read and Download Vinod Nair book Swahili in PDF, EPub, Mobi, Kindle online. Free book TSwahili. This book was released on 2019-06-28 with total page 394 pages. Book excerpt: Swahili Tales of Crowich Forest By: Vinod Nair Swahili is a mutant toad who lives in Crowich Forest. The forest is the site of a reactor used to create mutants by a crazy scientist. The government takes it over only to enforce its harsh rules on the mutants. Swahili grows up to be a crime investigator and goes around looking for his missing friend, Achillus, who is out to investigate drug rings around the world. Swahili discovers these rings around the world and puts an end to them. He also fights a crime lord Vulpecula, who is a mutant vulture and operates from Dumbo in New York City. The county is rife with misdemeanors committed by county officials and police personnel. Swahili eventually vanquishes Vulpecula and the government leaves Crowich. A new government sets in. The story revolves around the apathy of the county government leading to widespread misdemeanors and oppression by county administrative and police officials. The book is a tale of oppression, heroism and victory.